Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 1.640515 1.977421 2.387092 2.928841 3.636962 4.546220 5.827419e+00
2024-12-15 1.189837 1.593185 2.157392 3.033176 4.415077 6.620447 1.066136e+01
2024-12-22 0.907361 1.298817 1.898834 2.939228 4.825186 8.403697 1.666664e+01
2024-12-29 0.770679 1.164502 1.815634 3.057931 5.612756 11.348668 2.831203e+01
2025-01-05 0.662758 1.043908 1.712493 3.090703 6.244635 14.484489 4.564684e+01
2025-01-12 0.568451 0.923771 1.575802 3.003934 6.569022 17.178863 6.779597e+01
2025-01-19 0.499535 0.834205 1.473280 2.951871 6.954910 20.491387 1.034458e+02
2025-01-26 0.468892 0.808456 1.488241 3.169363 8.210495 28.423710 2.090374e+02
2025-02-02 0.437627 0.775424 1.479853 3.327897 9.416324 38.276041 4.357232e+02
2025-02-09 0.399883 0.723108 1.418195 3.326447 10.101110 47.077312 8.288785e+02
2025-02-16 0.362710 0.666440 1.335676 3.241240 10.436629 54.820816 1.506104e+03
2025-02-23 0.339142 0.634982 1.305949 3.302561 11.441130 70.365753 3.940393e+03
2025-03-02 0.322303 0.616424 1.305828 3.465062 13.112172 98.931399 1.957886e+04
2025-03-09 0.300982 0.585178 1.268622 3.497897 14.235083 128.757971 1.499504e+05
2025-03-16 0.275423 0.541136 1.190766 3.366582 14.385505 148.025037 1.644422e+06
2025-03-23 0.263200 0.526244 1.187384 3.503690 16.307800 213.753896 NaN
2025-03-30 0.248611 0.503921 1.159760 3.541803 17.696601 288.522246 NaN
2025-04-06 0.230966 0.472278 1.100930 3.438526 18.015952 343.390972 NaN
2025-04-13 0.216400 0.446616 1.055366 3.376698 18.636360 425.926158 NaN
2025-04-20 0.212183 0.445933 1.082462 3.635161 22.343855 774.421488 NaN
2025-04-27 0.206065 0.439721 1.092021 3.824105 25.898536 1383.350267 NaN
2025-05-04 0.195860 0.421916 1.062880 3.822374 27.584457 2030.621978 NaN
2025-05-11 0.184341 0.399599 1.016286 3.720769 28.047979 2627.804163 NaN